Tuesday, October 28, 2025

MBA 5008 - Applied Business Analytics: Interpretation of Shark Tank Data (July 19, 2024)

 

Slide 1:


Figure 1: Shark Tank Sharks. ABC Entertainment (2024). https://abc.com/show/535e2b07-18a9-4d94-9803-9ed8257b9d23/about-the-show

Slide 2:



Figure 2: Shark Tank infographic. Michael Stewart (2016). Getty Images. https://web-p-ebscohost-com.library.capella.edu/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=75f29d27-a470-4d5d-9d4c-0b5a0b7888d7%40redis

About

Shark Tank is an unscripted reality television show on ABC “that celebrates entrepreneurship in America” (ABC, 2024, para. 1). First airing in 2009, the program is produced by MGM Television and is based upon a similar Japanese series called Dragons’ Den (ABC, 2024). In its 15-year history, the Shark Tank program has won various awards, including several Emmys and the BANFF World Media Festival award in 2016 (ABC, 2016). There are other reality-based programs on television and streaming. However, it is the only show that offers entrepreneurs a chance to obtain funding for their business ideas from very successful investors.

Shark Tank investors seek out the best companies and products to back. These investors, also known as Sharks, “give people from all walks of life a chance to chase the American dream and potentially secure business deals that could make them millionaires” (ABC, 2024, para. 1). The primary Sharks are Mark Cuban (Owner of AXS TV and the Dallas Mavericks), Daymond John (CEO of FUBU apparel), Kevin O’Leary (Venture capitalist) Barbara Corcoran (Co-founder of the Corcoran Group), Lori Greiner (QVC host),  and Robert Herjavec (CEO & innovator)(Canal et al., 2016). Each season also includes special guest Sharks. Guests on the show pitch their products or business ideas to the Sharks, hoping one of them will “bite” and supply the funding needed for their ideas in exchange for a certain percentage of the company or other terms.

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Each episode of Shark Tank has an average viewership of 4.2 million (for season 14) and more, including streaming services (McEvoy, 2023). Furthermore, for companies and products selected to air on TV, some experience increased business exposure whether a deal is made because Shark Tank is a platform to showcase these products to reach millions (McEvoy, 2023). However, the Shark Tank selection process is very competitive. Shark Tank receives 35,000 to 40,000 applications from business owners each season, and around 1,000 of those applicants advance to the second stage of interviews (Levin, 2019). Season 7 filmed 158 pitches and aired 115 (Canal et al, 2016). Season 9 filmed 158 pitches and aired only 88 (Levin, 2019). So, the probability of being selected for the show is 0.40%, and for a pitch to be aired is 0.22% and 0.29%, respectively. The odds are very low, yet entrepreneurs apply and reapply yearly.

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ABC claims, “Whichever way the wheeling and dealing may go, many people’s lives will be better off – because they dared to enter the unpredictable waters of the "Shark Tank”  (ABC, 2016, para. 2). Each episode of Shark Tank has an average viewership of 4.2 million (for season 14), and more including streaming services (McEvoy, 2023). Furthermore, some companies experience increased business due to the exposure if aired (McEvoy, 2023). While some companies benefit from handshake agreements with the Sharks, is the program a dream come true for entrepreneurs, or does it fall short of expectations? One Forbes article examines data from the show's first seven seasons to provide insight.

Slide 5:


Figure 3: Shark Tank infographic. Michael Stewart (2016). Getty Images. https://web-p-ebscohost-com.library.capella.edu/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=75f29d27-a470-4d5d-9d4c-0b5a0b7888d7%40redis

The Forbes article, Shark Tanks’s Toothless Deals, analyzes 237 of the 319 deals offered over the first seven seasons. Forbes placed the raw descriptive data into categories that can be counted. This counting process “produces numerical values which summarize the data and can be used in subsequent processing” (Kenny, 2014, para. 2). The article examines several categories of descriptive data: deals offered, deals not offered, deals closed, terms that changed, and terms that remained the same, and if the company is still operating.

The pie chart on the left shows the proportion of deals that either closed or fell through. Of the 237 deals offered by the Sharks, 134 deals closed, or 57%, as displayed on the pie chart (Canal et al, 2016). The number of deals that fell through is 103, or 43% per the pie chart. The second pie chart examines the details of the 134 deals that closed. According to the chart, 95% of these closed deals are still operating, 4% were shut down, and 1% were sold. So out of the 134 closed deals, 127 companies are still operating, five were shut down, and one was sold (approximate values due to inability to have fractions of companies/deals as 95% of 134 = 127.3, 4% of 134 is 5.36, and 1% of 134 is 1.34). So, 127 companies/products out of 40,000 are still successfully operating, while 110 of these pitches, or 46%, did not get an offer, the deal fell through, or they closed operations. So, the probability of the offered deal closing is 57%, and the probability of the company remaining in business after closing is 95%. While the odds of being accepted for the show are small, the chances of a business or product getting a deal and maintaining operations after several years are overall more favorable.

Slide 6:


Figure 4: Shark Tank infographic. Michael Stewart (2016). Getty Images. https://web-p-ebscohost-com.library.capella.edu/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=75f29d27-a470-4d5d-9d4c-0b5a0b7888d7%40redis


The article examines the deals made by each of the six main Sharks and compares the data using a stacked bar chart featuring the number of solo deals offered, the number of closed solo deals, the number of closed deals with terms that remained the same, and the number of deals with changed terms. The stacked bar chart is displayed on the left; however, I transferred the data to a multi-bar chart to arrange the data side-by-side for comparison.

Per the Forbes article, Mark Cuban “stuck to his promises the most’ (Canal et al, 2016, para. 1). He also has a higher number of closed deals and unchanged terms than the other Sharks. Cuban offered 32 solo deals and closed 28. Of the 28 closed deals, 24 terms stayed the same, and 4 changed. J Daymond John offered 27 deals and closed 16 deals. Of those 16 closed deals, 2 deals’ terms remained the same, and for 14 deals, the terms changed. Kevin O’Leary has the least in 3 of the categories out of all the Sharks. O’Leary only made 14 solo offers, of which 8 closed, and of those 8, 3 terms remained the same, and 5 changed. Barbara Corcoran had 28 offers, 14 closes, 6 with changed terms, and 8 deals where the terms stayed the same. If the number of offers made were the only comparison, then Lori Greiner would appear to have the highest number at 35 solo offers. However, the Shark only closed on 17 of her deals, which is 49%. Of the 27, 7 terms stayed the same, and 10 changed. And lastly, Robert Herjavec offered 24 solo deals, closed 11, 2 deals stayed the same, and 9 deals changed (Canal et al., 2016). Out of the 160 deals offered by the six primary hosts, only 44 total deals closed with no changes to the original terms offered.

Slide 7:


On the stacked bar chart, Forbes also lists the percentages of each category out of the total number of offerings for each Shark, which was also transferred to a bar chart. The percentage of deals that closed about their deals offers ranges from 46% to 88%, with Mark Cuban being the highest and Robert Herjavec being the lowest. As you can tell from the chart, at 75%, Mark Cuban kept the terms the same as those offered in more deals than the other five Sharks. Daymond John, Kevin O’Leary, and Robert Herjavec had fewer deals where the terms remained the same out of the 6 Sharks, with John at the lowest at only 2 deals (7%). The terms changed ranged from 13% to 52%, with Daymond John with the highest percentage.

Slide 8: Conclusion


For some entrepreneurs, appearing on the Shark Tank series and securing investment allows the company to grow and experience successes unattainable without essential funding.  Some companies may gain popularity and notoriety by showing their product pitch to millions of viewers, but that is not the case for most. According to Forbes, “73% of the entrepreneurs did not get the agreement they made on TV, including  43% who did not get a deal at all (Canal et al., 2016, para. 1). Out of the 40,000 applicants annually, only around 150 are selected to share their pitch with the Sharks. Over seven seasons, the six main Sharks only offered 160 solo deals. Of the 160 solo deals, only 94 deals closed. Furthermore, only 44 of the 94 deals closed without changing the original agreed-upon terms. This means that over seven years, out of the 280,000 applicants, the Sharks only close approximately 13 deals, and only 6 deals a year close without term changes.

Per Mark Cuban, “Shark Tank is designed to help companies started in basements, in small towns, started by inexperienced founders to take their companies places they could never dream of going” (McEvoy, 2023, para. 10). While that is true for a limited number of businesses, the majority do not obtain the financial backing they are seeking.

Although Shark Tank has been around for 15 seasons, an analysis of the compiled data from all seasons and multiple Shark deals would help provide an even more accurate portrayal of the deals. Since Mark Cuban plans to exit the series after the 16th season (McEvoy, 2023) and close approximately 88% of the total deals (Canal et al., 2016), the show's producers may need to consider this when finding a replacement with a similar means to invest to maintain the current number of successfully closed deals.

Slide 9:

 


References

ABC. (2024). Shark Tank: About. ABC Entertainment. https://abc.com/show/535e2b07-18a9-4d94-9803-9ed8257b9d23/about-the-show

Canal, E., Kauflin, J., & Adams, S. (2016). Shark Tank's toothless deals. Forbes, 198(7), 24-25. https://web-p-ebscohost-com.library.capella.edu/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=75f29d27-a470-4d5d-9d4c-0b5a0b7888d7%40redis

Kenny, P. (2014). Better business decisions from data: Statistical analysis for professional success. Apress.

Levin, G. (2019, January 7). Shark Tank: All your burning questions answered. USA Today. https://www.usatoday.com/story/life/tv/2019/01/04/we-answer-your-shark-tank-burning-questions/2463620002/

McEvoy, J. (2023, January 10). Inside the secretive world of Shark Tank deals: Who the real winners are. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jemimamcevoy/2023/01/10/inside-the-secretive-world-of-shark-tank-deals-who-the-real-winners-are/

Stewart, M. (2016). Shark Tank infographic [Figure 2,3]. Getty Images. https://web-p-ebscohost-com.library.capella.edu/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=75f29d27-a470-4d5d-9d4c-0b5a0b7888d7%40redis

 

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